Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Yangzhou Chenhua New Material Co., Ltd. (300610.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$53.40 - $62.97$58.98
Multi-Stage$101.07 - $111.45$106.16
Blended Fair Value$82.57
Current Price$11.86
Upside596.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.79%0.92%0.190.340.350.290.110.080.070.050.040.04
YoY Growth---42.43%-4.73%22.59%162.18%39.94%7.09%43.66%29.33%11.65%-80.01%
Dividend Yield--1.89%3.61%2.74%1.81%0.92%0.97%0.68%0.47%0.21%0.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)70.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.008.755.25
Cash Retained (M)25.8225.8225.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.00-8.75-5.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.8117.0620.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)210.90210.90210.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.290.31
WACC / Discount Rate-19.87%-19.87%-19.87%
Growth Rate0.51%1.51%2.51%
Fair Value$53.40$58.98$62.97
Upside / Downside350.21%397.32%430.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)70.0271.0872.1673.2574.3675.4877.75
Payout Ratio63.13%68.50%73.88%79.25%84.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.2048.6953.3158.0562.9367.9471.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-19.87%-19.87%-19.87%
Growth Rate0.51%1.51%2.51%
Year 1 PV (M)60.1760.7761.37
Year 2 PV (M)81.4083.0384.67
Year 3 PV (M)109.54112.84116.21
Year 4 PV (M)146.73152.65158.76
Year 5 PV (M)195.75205.68216.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,721.9921,773.5122,867.29
Equity Value (M)21,315.5822,388.4923,504.31
Shares Outstanding (M)210.90210.90210.90
Fair Value$101.07$106.16$111.45
Upside / Downside752.19%795.08%839.70%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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