Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing Technology Co., Ltd. (300446.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.15 - $42.81$28.63
Multi-Stage$14.91 - $16.27$15.58
Blended Fair Value$22.10
Current Price$16.81
Upside31.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.12%12.87%0.110.050.070.000.010.050.060.040.040.03
YoY Growth--132.67%-28.29%3,213.15%-75.12%-82.57%-21.39%33.33%0.00%33.48%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.54%0.28%0.57%0.01%0.11%0.39%0.41%0.40%0.25%0.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)906.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)253.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)652.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)181.31113.3267.99
Cash Retained (M)652.70652.70652.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-181.31-113.32-67.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)471.39539.38584.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)845.44845.44845.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.560.640.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.560.640.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.860.940.99
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$20.15$28.63$42.81
Upside / Downside19.89%70.30%154.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)906.55965.471,028.231,095.061,166.241,242.051,279.31
Payout Ratio28.00%40.40%52.80%65.20%77.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)253.85390.06542.91713.99905.011,117.841,183.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)351.30354.63357.96
Year 2 PV (M)440.38448.77457.23
Year 3 PV (M)521.60536.57551.83
Year 4 PV (M)595.45618.35641.90
Year 5 PV (M)662.40694.39727.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,031.2410,515.7511,018.81
Equity Value (M)12,602.3713,168.4613,755.35
Shares Outstanding (M)845.44845.44845.44
Fair Value$14.91$15.58$16.27
Upside / Downside-11.33%-7.34%-3.21%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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