Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Beijing Comens New Materials Co.,Ltd. (300200.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.95 - $2.74$2.34
Multi-Stage$5.57 - $6.15$5.85
Blended Fair Value$4.10
Current Price$10.41
Upside-60.65%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-46.66%-24.96%0.010.150.150.300.250.130.120.120.100.10
YoY Growth---96.27%1.42%-50.36%19.81%91.66%6.22%1.67%21.38%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.06%2.23%1.70%3.97%2.53%1.73%2.22%2.19%1.02%1.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)73.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.8617.4110.45
Cash Retained (M)73.9073.9073.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.86-17.41-10.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)46.0456.4863.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)422.77422.77422.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.290.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate-6.17%-5.17%-4.17%
Fair Value$1.95$2.34$2.74
Upside / Downside-81.25%-77.50%-73.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.31132.11125.28118.80112.66106.83110.03
Payout Ratio46.96%55.56%64.17%72.78%81.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65.4273.4180.3986.4691.6996.15101.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate-6.17%-5.17%-4.17%
Year 1 PV (M)68.2068.9269.65
Year 2 PV (M)69.3970.8872.38
Year 3 PV (M)69.3371.5773.86
Year 4 PV (M)68.3171.2774.32
Year 5 PV (M)66.5570.1773.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,011.392,120.882,235.09
Equity Value (M)2,353.162,473.692,599.25
Shares Outstanding (M)422.77422.77422.77
Fair Value$5.57$5.85$6.15
Upside / Downside-46.53%-43.79%-40.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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