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Definitive Analysis

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Hana Pharm Co., Ltd. (293480.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,579.74 - $16,303.96$13,241.50
Multi-Stage$23,624.55 - $26,004.43$24,791.11
Blended Fair Value$19,016.31
Current Price$12,100.00
Upside57.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.37%0.00%510.20510.20510.20463.90418.42260.68173.8059.170.000.14
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%9.98%10.87%60.51%49.99%193.72%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.98%3.69%3.43%2.40%1.87%1.42%0.76%0.20%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19,911.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,822.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,089.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,982.382,488.991,493.39
Cash Retained (M)11,089.1611,089.1611,089.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,982.38-2,488.99-1,493.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,106.788,600.179,595.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.2917.2917.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share410.97497.33554.90
LTM Dividend per Share510.20510.20510.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share410.97497.33554.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend921.171,007.531,065.10
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10,579.74$13,241.50$16,303.96
Upside / Downside-12.56%9.43%34.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19,911.9019,712.7819,515.6519,320.5019,127.2918,936.0219,504.10
Payout Ratio44.31%53.45%62.59%71.72%80.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,822.7410,535.9112,213.9313,857.3515,466.6717,042.4218,041.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)9,789.939,889.839,989.73
Year 2 PV (M)10,545.5910,761.9110,980.42
Year 3 PV (M)11,117.4011,461.2111,812.04
Year 4 PV (M)11,529.9512,007.8112,500.38
Year 5 PV (M)11,805.1012,419.8213,059.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)353,745.52372,165.87391,345.70
Equity Value (M)408,533.49428,706.44449,688.14
Shares Outstanding (M)17.2917.2917.29
Fair Value$23,624.55$24,791.11$26,004.43
Upside / Downside95.24%104.89%114.91%

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