Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Yokorei Co.,Ltd. (2874.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$445.60 - $787.55$590.48
Multi-Stage$974.90 - $1,071.58$1,022.30
Blended Fair Value$806.39
Current Price$1,215.00
Upside-33.63%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.91%3.17%24.0524.5223.0323.0323.0022.9824.4618.6917.8217.67
YoY Growth---1.94%6.48%0.00%0.15%0.07%-6.03%30.85%4.85%0.86%0.39%
Dividend Yield--1.98%2.88%2.20%2.15%2.75%2.67%2.45%2.04%1.53%1.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,979.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,430.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)549.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)395.80247.38148.43
Cash Retained (M)549.00549.00549.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-395.80-247.38-148.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)153.20301.63400.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)58.9658.9658.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.605.126.79
LTM Dividend per Share24.2524.2524.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.605.126.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend26.8529.3731.05
WACC / Discount Rate5.78%5.78%5.78%
Growth Rate-0.23%0.77%1.77%
Fair Value$445.60$590.48$787.55
Upside / Downside-63.33%-51.40%-35.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,979.001,994.212,009.542,024.982,040.552,056.232,117.92
Payout Ratio72.26%75.81%79.36%82.90%86.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,430.001,511.751,594.671,678.781,764.091,850.611,959.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.78%5.78%5.78%
Growth Rate-0.23%0.77%1.77%
Year 1 PV (M)1,414.961,429.141,443.32
Year 2 PV (M)1,397.011,425.151,453.58
Year 3 PV (M)1,376.521,418.331,460.98
Year 4 PV (M)1,353.861,408.961,465.73
Year 5 PV (M)1,329.321,397.291,468.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,610.7453,198.5055,891.05
Equity Value (M)57,482.4060,277.3763,182.66
Shares Outstanding (M)58.9658.9658.96
Fair Value$974.90$1,022.30$1,071.58
Upside / Downside-19.76%-15.86%-11.80%

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