Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Louisa Professional Coffee Ltd. (2758.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.87 - $55.23$43.43
Multi-Stage$102.54 - $113.06$107.70
Blended Fair Value$75.56
Current Price$101.50
Upside-25.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%1.503.006.001.602.740.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---50.00%-50.00%275.00%-41.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.36%2.24%4.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)64.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.818.014.80
Cash Retained (M)33.3333.3333.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.81-8.01-4.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.5225.3228.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.5020.5020.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.001.231.39
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.001.231.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.502.732.89
WACC / Discount Rate5.23%5.23%5.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$33.87$43.43$55.23
Upside / Downside-66.63%-57.22%-45.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)64.0663.4162.7862.1561.5360.9262.74
Payout Ratio47.97%56.38%64.78%73.19%81.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.7335.7540.6745.4950.2154.8258.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.23%5.23%5.23%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)33.6333.9734.32
Year 2 PV (M)35.9936.7337.47
Year 3 PV (M)37.8639.0440.23
Year 4 PV (M)39.3140.9442.62
Year 5 PV (M)40.3842.4844.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,915.192,014.922,118.76
Equity Value (M)2,102.372,208.082,318.07
Shares Outstanding (M)20.5020.5020.50
Fair Value$102.54$107.70$113.06
Upside / Downside1.02%6.10%11.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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