Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

YoungQin International Co., Ltd. (2755.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$137.16 - $398.11$215.43
Multi-Stage$94.66 - $103.28$98.89
Blended Fair Value$157.16
Current Price$123.64
Upside27.11%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS22.11%0.00%2.950.961.091.090.491.090.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--208.25%-12.00%0.00%122.22%-54.95%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.91%1.19%1.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)200.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)108.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)92.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.1925.1215.07
Cash Retained (M)92.4492.4492.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.19-25.12-15.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)52.2567.3277.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.7336.7336.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.421.832.11
LTM Dividend per Share2.952.952.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.421.832.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.384.795.06
WACC / Discount Rate8.87%8.87%8.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$137.16$215.43$398.11
Upside / Downside10.93%74.24%221.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)200.94214.01227.92242.73258.51275.31283.57
Payout Ratio54.00%61.20%68.40%75.60%82.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)108.50130.97155.89183.50214.04247.78262.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.87%8.87%8.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)119.17120.30121.43
Year 2 PV (M)129.07131.53134.01
Year 3 PV (M)138.25142.22146.26
Year 4 PV (M)146.74152.38158.18
Year 5 PV (M)154.56162.03169.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,789.142,923.863,063.73
Equity Value (M)3,476.943,632.323,793.40
Shares Outstanding (M)36.7336.7336.73
Fair Value$94.66$98.89$103.28
Upside / Downside-23.44%-20.02%-16.47%

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