Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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ENN Energy Holdings Limited (2688.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,091.34 - $2,114.37$1,981.47
Multi-Stage$331.73 - $363.00$347.08
Blended Fair Value$1,164.28
Current Price$57.19
Upside1,935.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.72%21.96%2.692.662.372.531.541.050.850.690.630.63
YoY Growth--1.28%12.04%-6.01%64.46%46.17%23.53%22.84%9.93%-0.56%71.26%
Dividend Yield--5.14%5.11%2.45%2.11%1.60%1.38%1.40%1.45%2.21%1.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,899.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,992.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,907.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,379.801,487.38892.43
Cash Retained (M)5,907.005,907.005,907.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,379.80-1,487.38-892.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,527.204,419.635,014.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,119.211,119.211,119.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.153.954.48
LTM Dividend per Share5.355.355.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.153.954.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.519.309.83
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,091.34$1,981.47$2,114.37
Upside / Downside1,808.27%3,364.72%3,597.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,899.0012,672.4413,496.1414,373.3915,307.6616,302.6616,791.74
Payout Ratio50.36%58.29%66.21%74.14%82.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,992.007,386.228,936.3810,656.8512,563.2214,672.4015,532.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6,881.796,947.027,012.25
Year 2 PV (M)7,757.457,905.218,054.36
Year 3 PV (M)8,619.178,866.599,118.71
Year 4 PV (M)9,467.099,831.1610,205.64
Year 5 PV (M)10,301.3810,798.9411,315.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)328,249.74344,104.33360,565.70
Equity Value (M)371,276.61388,453.24406,272.20
Shares Outstanding (M)1,119.211,119.211,119.21
Fair Value$331.73$347.08$363.00
Upside / Downside480.05%506.89%534.73%

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