Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Advanced Process Systems Corporation (265520.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21,975.50 - $37,570.84$28,731.88
Multi-Stage$37,996.47 - $41,763.62$39,843.75
Blended Fair Value$34,287.81
Current Price$17,000.00
Upside101.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.32%0.00%473.43272.12242.56141.4773.99165.9929.670.000.000.00
YoY Growth--73.98%12.19%71.46%91.19%-55.42%459.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.79%1.25%1.09%0.60%0.26%0.68%0.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26,332.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,958.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)18,374.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,266.553,291.601,974.96
Cash Retained (M)18,374.2618,374.2618,374.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,266.55-3,291.60-1,974.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)13,107.7115,082.6616,399.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.9114.9114.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share879.281,011.771,100.09
LTM Dividend per Share533.87533.87533.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share879.281,011.771,100.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,413.151,545.631,633.96
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate0.26%1.26%2.26%
Fair Value$21,975.50$28,731.88$37,570.84
Upside / Downside29.27%69.01%121.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26,332.7626,664.4727,000.3527,340.4627,684.8628,033.5928,874.60
Payout Ratio30.22%42.18%54.13%66.09%78.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,958.5011,246.6114,616.2818,069.0721,606.5225,230.2326,709.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate0.26%1.26%2.26%
Year 1 PV (M)10,435.6310,539.7210,643.80
Year 2 PV (M)12,584.3612,836.6513,091.44
Year 3 PV (M)14,435.3514,871.6115,316.57
Year 4 PV (M)16,016.7116,665.3517,333.48
Year 5 PV (M)17,354.2918,237.1919,155.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)495,596.55520,810.17547,039.71
Equity Value (M)566,422.88593,960.68622,580.68
Shares Outstanding (M)14.9114.9114.91
Fair Value$37,996.47$39,843.75$41,763.62
Upside / Downside123.51%134.37%145.67%

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