Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Kedge Construction Co., Ltd. (2546.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$757.20 - $1,641.83$1,538.63
Multi-Stage$249.12 - $272.62$260.65
Blended Fair Value$899.64
Current Price$77.36
Upside1,062.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.71%16.37%3.733.742.132.952.462.461.771.230.821.23
YoY Growth---0.24%75.58%-27.78%20.00%0.00%38.89%44.00%50.00%-33.33%50.00%
Dividend Yield--5.07%4.58%3.51%6.24%6.03%8.81%6.65%6.22%5.22%9.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,069.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)482.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)586.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)213.89133.6880.21
Cash Retained (M)586.56586.56586.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-213.89-133.68-80.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)372.67452.88506.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)129.54129.54129.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.883.503.91
LTM Dividend per Share3.733.733.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.883.503.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.607.227.64
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$757.20$1,538.63$1,641.83
Upside / Downside878.81%1,888.93%2,022.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,069.451,138.961,213.001,291.841,375.811,465.241,509.19
Payout Ratio45.15%54.12%63.09%72.06%81.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)482.89616.43765.30930.911,114.831,318.711,396.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)573.80579.24584.68
Year 2 PV (M)663.12675.75688.50
Year 3 PV (M)750.84772.39794.35
Year 4 PV (M)836.99869.18902.29
Year 5 PV (M)921.60966.121,012.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,525.3629,903.1431,333.66
Equity Value (M)32,271.7133,765.8335,315.82
Shares Outstanding (M)129.54129.54129.54
Fair Value$249.12$260.65$272.62
Upside / Downside222.03%236.94%252.40%

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