Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Quest Co., Ltd. (2332.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,617.41 - $5,558.14$3,717.38
Multi-Stage$1,908.97 - $2,085.08$1,995.44
Blended Fair Value$2,856.41
Current Price$1,510.00
Upside89.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS8.99%0.00%48.8845.7841.5238.5133.7431.780.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--6.78%10.27%7.80%14.14%6.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.35%3.27%2.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)746.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)130.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)616.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)149.3693.3556.01
Cash Retained (M)616.79616.79616.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-149.36-93.35-56.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)467.42523.44560.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.365.365.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share87.2097.65104.62
LTM Dividend per Share24.2624.2624.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share87.2097.65104.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend111.46121.91128.87
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,617.41$3,717.38$5,558.14
Upside / Downside73.34%146.18%268.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)746.82795.36847.06902.12960.761,023.211,053.90
Payout Ratio17.41%31.93%46.45%60.96%75.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)130.03253.95393.43549.97725.20920.88974.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)228.71230.88233.05
Year 2 PV (M)319.12325.19331.33
Year 3 PV (M)401.75413.29425.04
Year 4 PV (M)477.11495.46514.33
Year 5 PV (M)545.64571.99599.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,260.498,659.489,073.73
Equity Value (M)10,232.8210,696.2911,176.83
Shares Outstanding (M)5.365.365.36
Fair Value$1,908.97$1,995.44$2,085.08
Upside / Downside26.42%32.15%38.08%

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