Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group Co., Ltd. (2270.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.14 - $1.73$1.42
Multi-Stage$2.39 - $2.64$2.51
Blended Fair Value$1.96
Current Price$1.42
Upside38.32%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.050.000.000.000.070.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%4.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%7.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)75.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)43.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.019.385.63
Cash Retained (M)43.8543.8543.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.01-9.38-5.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)28.8434.4738.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)582.93582.93582.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.14$1.42$1.73
Upside / Downside-19.93%-0.30%21.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)75.0674.3173.5672.8372.1071.3873.52
Payout Ratio41.57%51.26%60.94%70.63%80.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.2038.0944.8351.4457.9164.2468.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)35.2835.6436.00
Year 2 PV (M)38.4639.2540.04
Year 3 PV (M)40.8742.1343.42
Year 4 PV (M)42.6144.3846.20
Year 5 PV (M)43.7846.0648.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,195.021,257.241,322.04
Equity Value (M)1,396.021,464.701,536.14
Shares Outstanding (M)582.93582.93582.93
Fair Value$2.39$2.51$2.64
Upside / Downside68.65%76.95%85.58%

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