Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Young Shine Electric Co., Ltd. (2249.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$972.82 - $4,650.11$2,118.92
Multi-Stage$646.42 - $708.45$676.86
Blended Fair Value$1,397.89
Current Price$82.73
Upside1,589.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS18.66%0.00%2.522.511.922.092.341.070.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.26%30.67%-7.90%-10.71%118.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.29%3.67%5.20%4.69%5.07%1.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)565.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)120.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)445.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)113.1170.6942.42
Cash Retained (M)445.04445.04445.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-113.11-70.69-42.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)331.93374.35402.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.9623.9623.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.8515.6216.80
LTM Dividend per Share5.035.035.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.8515.6216.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.8820.6521.83
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.51%5.51%6.51%
Fair Value$972.82$2,118.92$4,650.11
Upside / Downside1,075.90%2,461.25%5,520.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)565.54596.70629.58664.26700.86739.47761.65
Payout Ratio21.31%35.05%48.78%62.52%76.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)120.50209.12307.14415.32534.48665.52704.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.51%5.51%6.51%
Year 1 PV (M)194.43196.29198.15
Year 2 PV (M)265.49270.60275.75
Year 3 PV (M)333.78343.46353.31
Year 4 PV (M)399.37414.88430.83
Year 5 PV (M)462.35484.90508.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,835.5614,510.2715,211.06
Equity Value (M)15,490.9816,220.3916,977.42
Shares Outstanding (M)23.9623.9623.96
Fair Value$646.42$676.86$708.45
Upside / Downside681.36%718.16%756.34%

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