Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Incross Co., Ltd. (216050.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,541.42 - $19,954.84$15,158.87
Multi-Stage$19,384.18 - $21,305.30$20,326.25
Blended Fair Value$17,742.56
Current Price$7,290.00
Upside143.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%138.34%320.95388.35431.990.000.000.000.000.000.000.05
YoY Growth---17.36%-10.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-4.64%
Dividend Yield--4.65%3.86%2.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,907.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,920.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,986.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,181.421,363.39818.03
Cash Retained (M)7,986.107,986.107,986.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,181.42-1,363.39-818.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,804.686,622.717,168.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.0712.0712.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share480.83548.59593.76
LTM Dividend per Share241.96241.96241.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share480.83548.59593.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend722.79790.55835.72
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate0.45%1.45%2.45%
Fair Value$11,541.42$15,158.87$19,954.84
Upside / Downside58.32%107.94%173.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,907.0811,064.9511,225.1011,387.5611,552.3811,719.5912,071.18
Payout Ratio26.78%39.42%52.07%64.71%77.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,920.994,362.305,844.737,369.158,936.4810,547.6311,165.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate0.45%1.45%2.45%
Year 1 PV (M)4,046.644,086.934,127.21
Year 2 PV (M)5,029.475,130.115,231.75
Year 3 PV (M)5,882.406,059.846,240.81
Year 4 PV (M)6,617.326,884.807,160.30
Year 5 PV (M)7,245.197,613.097,995.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)205,189.61215,608.80226,447.01
Equity Value (M)234,010.63245,383.56257,202.86
Shares Outstanding (M)12.0712.0712.07
Fair Value$19,384.18$20,326.25$21,305.30
Upside / Downside165.90%178.82%192.25%

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