Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Humedix Co., Ltd. (200670.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44,104.18 - $65,444.22$54,291.40
Multi-Stage$57,577.96 - $63,180.23$60,325.79
Blended Fair Value$57,308.60
Current Price$53,800.00
Upside6.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.18%0.00%577.25686.79364.83365.07461.93518.32500.14416.08251.820.00
YoY Growth---15.95%88.25%-0.07%-20.97%-10.88%3.64%20.20%65.23%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.48%2.35%1.58%1.68%1.89%3.00%1.78%1.00%0.94%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)55,281.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,959.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)50,322.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,056.266,910.164,146.10
Cash Retained (M)50,322.0850,322.0850,322.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,056.26-6,910.16-4,146.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)39,265.8243,411.9246,175.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.3110.3110.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,809.444,211.684,479.84
LTM Dividend per Share481.13481.13481.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,809.444,211.684,479.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,290.574,692.814,960.97
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate0.18%1.18%2.18%
Fair Value$44,104.18$54,291.40$65,444.22
Upside / Downside-18.02%0.91%21.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)55,281.3155,932.0956,590.5357,256.7357,930.7658,612.7360,371.12
Payout Ratio8.97%25.18%41.38%57.59%73.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,959.2314,081.8623,418.6032,973.2142,749.5352,751.4655,843.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate0.18%1.18%2.18%
Year 1 PV (M)12,684.0812,810.7012,937.31
Year 2 PV (M)19,000.2119,381.4419,766.45
Year 3 PV (M)24,096.7024,825.5525,568.95
Year 4 PV (M)28,140.1529,280.7030,455.58
Year 5 PV (M)31,277.2332,869.8134,526.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)478,286.49502,639.88527,975.35
Equity Value (M)593,484.86621,808.08651,230.24
Shares Outstanding (M)10.3110.3110.31
Fair Value$57,577.96$60,325.79$63,180.23
Upside / Downside7.02%12.13%17.44%

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