Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

JDC Corporation (1887.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$151.65 - $232.66$189.43
Multi-Stage$275.41 - $302.80$288.83
Blended Fair Value$239.13
Current Price$468.00
Upside-48.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-13.31%19.79%22.5827.2428.3528.7430.7946.1313.127.498.116.24
YoY Growth---17.10%-3.91%-1.34%-6.67%-33.24%251.66%75.21%-7.68%29.94%68.12%
Dividend Yield--4.83%5.63%4.63%4.75%5.35%7.94%2.56%1.20%1.30%1.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,333.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)421.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)912.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)266.60166.6399.98
Cash Retained (M)912.00912.00912.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-266.60-166.63-99.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)645.40745.38812.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)80.2880.2880.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.049.2810.12
LTM Dividend per Share5.245.245.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.049.2810.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend13.2814.5315.36
WACC / Discount Rate7.45%7.45%7.45%
Growth Rate-1.20%-0.20%0.80%
Fair Value$151.65$189.43$232.66
Upside / Downside-67.60%-59.52%-50.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,333.001,330.341,327.681,325.031,322.381,319.741,359.33
Payout Ratio31.58%43.27%54.95%66.63%78.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)421.00575.59729.56882.911,035.641,187.761,257.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.45%7.45%7.45%
Growth Rate-1.20%-0.20%0.80%
Year 1 PV (M)530.29535.66541.02
Year 2 PV (M)619.24631.84644.57
Year 3 PV (M)690.43711.60733.21
Year 4 PV (M)746.13776.80808.40
Year 5 PV (M)788.38829.09871.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,734.7019,702.2020,709.26
Equity Value (M)22,109.1623,187.1924,307.93
Shares Outstanding (M)80.2880.2880.28
Fair Value$275.41$288.83$302.80
Upside / Downside-41.15%-38.28%-35.30%

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