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Definitive Analysis

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KoMiCo Ltd. (183300.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$943,679.54 - $1,111,814.39$1,041,932.90
Multi-Stage$223,661.40 - $245,059.02$234,162.41
Blended Fair Value$638,047.66
Current Price$97,400.00
Upside555.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS14.78%0.00%677.30962.67531.73337.27339.92339.92280.43313.19215.570.00
YoY Growth---29.64%81.04%57.66%-0.78%0.00%21.21%-10.46%45.28%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.21%1.29%1.06%0.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)57,727.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18,695.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)39,031.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,545.547,215.964,329.58
Cash Retained (M)39,031.8639,031.8639,031.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,545.54-7,215.96-4,329.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)27,486.3231,815.9034,702.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.3310.3310.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,661.863,081.143,360.67
LTM Dividend per Share1,810.561,810.561,810.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,661.863,081.143,360.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,472.414,891.705,171.23
WACC / Discount Rate5.59%5.59%5.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$943,679.54$1,041,932.90$1,111,814.39
Upside / Downside868.87%969.75%1,041.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)57,727.7061,480.0065,476.1969,732.1574,264.7479,091.9581,464.70
Payout Ratio32.39%43.91%55.43%66.95%78.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18,695.8326,995.2536,294.6046,688.8158,280.9271,182.7575,354.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.59%5.59%5.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)25,326.6425,566.7125,806.77
Year 2 PV (M)31,946.4532,554.9433,169.17
Year 3 PV (M)38,555.2739,662.0540,789.82
Year 4 PV (M)45,153.1146,889.5748,675.64
Year 5 PV (M)51,739.9954,239.0556,833.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,116,806.202,219,048.732,325,204.32
Equity Value (M)2,309,527.662,417,961.052,530,479.47
Shares Outstanding (M)10.3310.3310.33
Fair Value$223,661.40$234,162.41$245,059.02
Upside / Downside129.63%140.41%151.60%

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