Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sampo Corporation (1604.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.60 - $66.84$44.83
Multi-Stage$46.45 - $50.90$48.63
Blended Fair Value$46.73
Current Price$25.30
Upside84.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.10%3.87%1.501.502.702.551.521.420.251.801.351.41
YoY Growth--0.00%-44.44%5.65%67.52%7.43%461.52%-85.99%33.06%-3.66%37.22%
Dividend Yield--5.35%5.02%9.80%7.90%4.97%8.32%1.51%10.33%5.63%8.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)638.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)545.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)92.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)127.6279.7647.86
Cash Retained (M)92.7092.7092.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-127.62-79.76-47.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)-34.9212.9444.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)364.11364.11364.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.100.040.12
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.100.040.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.401.531.62
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate1.87%2.87%3.87%
Fair Value$31.60$44.83$66.84
Upside / Downside24.92%77.18%164.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)638.12656.43675.27694.65714.59735.10757.15
Payout Ratio85.47%86.38%87.28%88.19%89.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)545.42567.01589.40612.61636.66661.59700.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate1.87%2.87%3.87%
Year 1 PV (M)527.78532.96538.14
Year 2 PV (M)510.66520.74530.91
Year 3 PV (M)494.04508.73523.71
Year 4 PV (M)477.91496.96516.56
Year 5 PV (M)462.26485.40509.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,438.5315,161.2615,912.64
Equity Value (M)16,911.1917,706.0518,531.43
Shares Outstanding (M)364.11364.11364.11
Fair Value$46.45$48.63$50.90
Upside / Downside83.58%92.21%101.17%

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