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Definitive Analysis

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BNK Financial Group Inc. (138930.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$137,228.64 - $496,194.56$434,985.05
Multi-Stage$62,842.87 - $68,756.43$65,745.47
Blended Fair Value$250,365.26
Current Price$14,590.00
Upside1,616.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.26%14.89%786.59942.67817.70561.15608.17505.10301.61340.83209.91214.44
YoY Growth---16.56%15.28%45.72%-7.73%20.41%67.47%-11.51%62.37%-2.11%9.23%
Dividend Yield--7.67%12.07%12.56%7.05%8.96%11.39%4.37%3.28%2.29%2.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)793,444.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)267,930.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)525,513.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)158,688.8299,180.5159,508.31
Cash Retained (M)525,513.70525,513.70525,513.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-158,688.82-99,180.51-59,508.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)366,824.88426,333.19466,005.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)318.01318.01318.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,153.491,340.621,465.37
LTM Dividend per Share842.51842.51842.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,153.491,340.621,465.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,996.012,183.132,307.88
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$137,228.64$434,985.05$496,194.56
Upside / Downside840.57%2,881.39%3,300.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)793,444.10845,017.97899,944.13958,440.501,020,739.141,087,087.181,119,699.80
Payout Ratio33.77%45.01%56.26%67.51%78.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)267,930.40380,379.93506,315.90647,016.44803,868.87978,378.461,035,722.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)352,043.74355,380.65358,717.56
Year 2 PV (M)433,690.22441,950.80450,289.31
Year 3 PV (M)512,923.28527,647.46542,650.77
Year 4 PV (M)589,795.33612,477.19635,807.06
Year 5 PV (M)664,357.79696,446.52729,763.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,432,022.5318,273,995.7319,148,193.24
Equity Value (M)19,984,832.8920,907,898.3621,865,421.30
Shares Outstanding (M)318.01318.01318.01
Fair Value$62,842.87$65,745.47$68,756.43
Upside / Downside330.73%350.62%371.26%

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