Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Guming (1364.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.66 - $16.59$13.40
Multi-Stage$24.90 - $27.43$26.14
Blended Fair Value$19.77
Current Price$23.31
Upside-15.18%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,364.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)888.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,475.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)472.88295.55177.33
Cash Retained (M)1,475.681,475.681,475.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-472.88-295.55-177.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,002.811,180.141,298.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,107.042,107.042,107.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.560.62
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.560.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.900.981.04
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10.66$13.40$16.59
Upside / Downside-54.28%-42.52%-28.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,364.392,340.752,317.342,294.172,271.232,248.512,315.97
Payout Ratio37.59%48.07%58.55%69.03%79.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)888.711,125.191,356.861,583.781,806.022,023.662,142.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,048.261,058.951,069.65
Year 2 PV (M)1,177.651,201.811,226.21
Year 3 PV (M)1,280.611,320.221,360.63
Year 4 PV (M)1,360.471,416.851,474.97
Year 5 PV (M)1,420.181,494.141,571.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)46,187.4448,592.5251,096.77
Equity Value (M)52,474.6155,084.4957,799.37
Shares Outstanding (M)2,107.042,107.042,107.04
Fair Value$24.90$26.14$27.43
Upside / Downside6.84%12.15%17.68%

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