Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

361 Degrees International Limited (1361.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$91.47 - $217.76$204.08
Multi-Stage$32.04 - $35.06$33.52
Blended Fair Value$118.80
Current Price$4.55
Upside2,511.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.90%18.83%0.280.060.000.000.010.080.090.070.150.08
YoY Growth--376.47%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-83.60%-12.77%32.39%-53.59%91.25%60.00%
Dividend Yield--7.05%1.96%0.00%0.00%1.48%6.46%6.57%3.16%5.69%3.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,264.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)892.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,371.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)452.82283.01169.81
Cash Retained (M)1,371.201,371.201,371.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-452.82-283.01-169.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)918.381,088.191,201.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,067.692,067.692,067.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.530.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.530.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.880.961.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$91.47$204.08$217.76
Upside / Downside1,910.39%4,385.22%4,686.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,264.092,411.252,567.982,734.902,912.673,101.993,195.05
Payout Ratio39.44%49.55%59.66%69.77%79.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)892.891,194.761,532.111,908.272,326.862,791.792,955.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,111.201,121.741,132.27
Year 2 PV (M)1,325.301,350.541,376.02
Year 3 PV (M)1,535.231,579.301,624.21
Year 4 PV (M)1,741.061,808.021,876.89
Year 5 PV (M)1,942.852,036.692,134.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)58,590.7761,420.7264,358.99
Equity Value (M)66,246.4169,317.0172,502.50
Shares Outstanding (M)2,067.692,067.692,067.69
Fair Value$32.04$33.52$35.06
Upside / Downside604.15%636.79%670.65%

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