Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Secuve Co., Ltd. (131090.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,382.65 - $3,352.95$2,864.09
Multi-Stage$5,151.73 - $5,678.71$5,409.94
Blended Fair Value$4,137.01
Current Price$4,350.00
Upside-4.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%128.92134.15127.6372.6645.830.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---3.90%5.11%75.65%58.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.23%2.71%2.26%1.01%0.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,965.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)956.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,009.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)593.19370.75222.45
Cash Retained (M)2,009.302,009.302,009.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-593.19-370.75-222.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,416.111,638.561,786.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.647.647.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share185.29214.40233.80
LTM Dividend per Share125.18125.18125.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share185.29214.40233.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend310.47339.58358.98
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate-4.73%-3.73%-2.73%
Fair Value$2,382.65$2,864.09$3,352.95
Upside / Downside-45.23%-34.16%-22.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,965.962,855.362,748.892,646.382,547.702,452.702,526.28
Payout Ratio32.25%43.80%55.35%66.90%78.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)956.661,250.751,521.581,770.481,998.692,207.432,336.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate-4.73%-3.73%-2.73%
Year 1 PV (M)1,149.431,161.491,173.55
Year 2 PV (M)1,285.031,312.151,339.55
Year 3 PV (M)1,374.101,417.821,462.46
Year 4 PV (M)1,425.551,486.351,549.07
Year 5 PV (M)1,446.871,524.421,605.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)32,691.1634,443.2536,269.67
Equity Value (M)39,372.1441,345.4843,399.57
Shares Outstanding (M)7.647.647.64
Fair Value$5,151.73$5,409.94$5,678.71
Upside / Downside18.43%24.37%30.55%

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