Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Accel Group Holdings Limited (1283.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.18 - $21.02$8.72
Multi-Stage$10.09 - $11.14$10.61
Blended Fair Value$9.66
Current Price$1.38
Upside600.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.020.020.040.060.030.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---16.27%-37.84%-40.32%93.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.37%3.01%2.95%4.06%1.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)91.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)57.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.2611.416.85
Cash Retained (M)57.4957.4957.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.26-11.41-6.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.2346.0850.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)803.55803.55803.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.18$8.72$21.02
Upside / Downside203.17%531.65%1,423.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)91.3090.3989.4888.5987.7086.8389.43
Payout Ratio37.03%47.62%58.22%68.81%79.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.8143.0452.0960.9669.6478.1482.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)42.5542.9943.42
Year 2 PV (M)50.9251.9653.01
Year 3 PV (M)58.9060.7262.58
Year 4 PV (M)66.5269.2872.12
Year 5 PV (M)73.8077.6481.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,812.288,219.088,642.66
Equity Value (M)8,104.978,521.678,955.44
Shares Outstanding (M)803.55803.55803.55
Fair Value$10.09$10.61$11.14
Upside / Downside630.91%668.48%707.60%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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