Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Al Hassan Ghazi Ibrahim Shaker Company (1214.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.49 - $17.00$14.13
Multi-Stage$21.15 - $23.25$22.18
Blended Fair Value$18.15
Current Price$27.10
Upside-33.01%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.850.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%4.73%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)80.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.0210.016.01
Cash Retained (M)52.3452.3452.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.02-10.01-6.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)36.3242.3346.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)55.4955.4955.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.650.760.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.650.760.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.151.261.34
WACC / Discount Rate7.85%7.85%7.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.49$14.13$17.00
Upside / Downside-57.61%-47.88%-37.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)80.0979.2978.5077.7176.9476.1778.45
Payout Ratio34.65%45.72%56.79%67.86%78.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.7536.2544.5852.7360.7268.5572.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.85%7.85%7.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)33.2733.6133.95
Year 2 PV (M)37.5538.3239.10
Year 3 PV (M)40.7742.0443.32
Year 4 PV (M)43.0944.8846.72
Year 5 PV (M)44.6546.9749.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)974.221,024.951,077.77
Equity Value (M)1,173.561,230.781,290.26
Shares Outstanding (M)55.4955.4955.49
Fair Value$21.15$22.18$23.25
Upside / Downside-21.95%-18.15%-14.19%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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