Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kolon Industries, Inc. (120110.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44,661.20 - $81,848.54$60,036.31
Multi-Stage$79,731.31 - $87,406.29$83,495.91
Blended Fair Value$71,766.11
Current Price$34,000.00
Upside111.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.87%9.27%1,335.501,343.641,329.39967.68893.90914.251,061.631,043.31477.67470.20
YoY Growth---0.61%1.07%37.38%8.25%-2.23%-13.88%1.76%118.42%1.59%-14.57%
Dividend Yield--4.57%3.53%2.99%1.53%1.49%3.05%2.09%1.55%0.67%0.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)96,637.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)95,211.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,426.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19,327.4612,079.667,247.80
Cash Retained (M)1,426.081,426.081,426.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-19,327.46-12,079.66-7,247.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)-17,901.37-10,653.58-5,821.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)31.0931.0931.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share-575.78-342.66-187.25
LTM Dividend per Share3,062.363,062.363,062.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share-575.78-342.66-187.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,486.592,719.702,875.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.75%1.75%2.75%
Fair Value$44,661.20$60,036.31$81,848.54
Upside / Downside31.36%76.58%140.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)96,637.2898,323.87100,039.89101,785.86103,562.31105,369.75108,530.85
Payout Ratio98.52%96.82%95.11%93.41%91.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)95,211.2095,196.6195,152.5295,077.8994,971.6794,832.78100,391.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.75%1.75%2.75%
Year 1 PV (M)88,629.1089,508.8390,388.57
Year 2 PV (M)82,476.4584,121.9085,783.60
Year 3 PV (M)76,726.2679,033.7781,387.09
Year 4 PV (M)71,353.1974,228.6677,190.18
Year 5 PV (M)66,333.4669,691.6073,184.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,093,387.662,199,365.842,309,593.35
Equity Value (M)2,478,906.102,595,950.602,717,527.18
Shares Outstanding (M)31.0931.0931.09
Fair Value$79,731.31$83,495.91$87,406.29
Upside / Downside134.50%145.58%157.08%

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