Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (1157.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.58 - $7.24$5.79
Multi-Stage$9.28 - $10.18$9.72
Blended Fair Value$7.76
Current Price$5.32
Upside45.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.46%4.12%0.390.380.420.450.300.400.310.310.310.23
YoY Growth--3.16%-10.32%-6.17%51.01%-25.46%28.23%2.51%-0.82%31.10%-10.36%
Dividend Yield--7.35%7.80%11.67%11.17%3.20%7.79%9.04%12.71%8.34%9.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,997.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,581.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)415.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)799.42499.64299.78
Cash Retained (M)415.80415.80415.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-799.42-499.64-299.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)-383.62-83.84116.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8,745.878,745.878,745.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.04-0.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.04-0.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate-1.02%-0.02%0.98%
Fair Value$4.58$5.79$7.24
Upside / Downside-13.89%8.92%36.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,997.113,996.433,995.753,995.073,994.393,993.714,113.52
Payout Ratio89.60%89.68%89.76%89.84%89.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,581.313,583.923,586.523,589.133,591.733,594.343,805.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate-1.02%-0.02%0.98%
Year 1 PV (M)3,319.593,353.123,386.66
Year 2 PV (M)3,076.993,139.483,202.59
Year 3 PV (M)2,852.122,939.443,028.52
Year 4 PV (M)2,643.682,752.142,863.91
Year 5 PV (M)2,450.472,576.782,708.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)66,808.2170,251.8273,835.99
Equity Value (M)81,151.0685,012.7989,025.92
Shares Outstanding (M)8,745.878,745.878,745.87
Fair Value$9.28$9.72$10.18
Upside / Downside74.41%82.71%91.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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