Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Miwon Holdings Co., Ltd. (107590.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$891,811.14 - $2,071,704.00$1,941,490.04
Multi-Stage$302,864.19 - $331,708.00$317,020.30
Blended Fair Value$1,129,255.17
Current Price$70,400.00
Upside1,504.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.96%6.74%1,493.111,395.071,013.364,530.709,563.41402.770.001,557.17734.504,660.40
YoY Growth--7.03%37.67%-77.63%-52.62%2,274.42%0.00%-100.00%112.00%-84.24%499.18%
Dividend Yield--2.05%1.79%1.02%3.20%8.54%0.99%0.00%3.48%1.37%14.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24,123.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,598.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)19,524.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,824.693,015.431,809.26
Cash Retained (M)19,524.8219,524.8219,524.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,824.69-3,015.43-1,809.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)14,700.1316,509.3917,715.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.322.322.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share6,347.897,129.187,650.03
LTM Dividend per Share1,985.801,985.801,985.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share6,347.897,129.187,650.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend8,333.699,114.989,635.83
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$891,811.14$1,941,490.04$2,071,704.00
Upside / Downside1,166.78%2,657.80%2,842.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24,123.4425,691.4627,361.4129,139.9031,033.9933,051.2034,042.74
Payout Ratio19.06%33.25%47.44%61.63%75.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,598.628,542.4812,979.6217,957.5023,527.6729,746.0831,489.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)7,946.858,022.188,097.50
Year 2 PV (M)11,232.6911,446.6411,662.61
Year 3 PV (M)14,457.0114,872.0215,294.90
Year 4 PV (M)17,620.6718,298.3118,995.31
Year 5 PV (M)20,724.5121,725.5122,764.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)629,376.01659,775.11691,337.65
Equity Value (M)701,357.75734,139.77768,152.80
Shares Outstanding (M)2.322.322.32
Fair Value$302,864.19$317,020.30$331,708.00
Upside / Downside330.20%350.31%371.18%

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