Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Yum China Holdings Inc (0YU.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.52 - $50.73$38.67
Multi-Stage$31.54 - $34.50$32.99
Blended Fair Value$35.83
Current Price$59.43
Upside-39.71%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.50%0.00%0.620.540.500.500.240.450.400.090.000.00
YoY Growth--14.81%6.93%-0.49%113.68%-47.51%12.42%323.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.13%0.99%0.79%1.18%0.39%1.06%1.02%0.22%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)919.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)302.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)617.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)183.80114.8868.93
Cash Retained (M)617.00617.00617.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-183.80-114.88-68.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)433.20502.13548.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)403.00403.00403.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.071.251.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.750.750.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.071.251.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.822.002.11
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate3.01%4.01%5.01%
Fair Value$29.52$38.67$50.73
Upside / Downside-50.33%-34.93%-14.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)919.00955.83994.141,033.981,075.421,118.521,152.07
Payout Ratio32.86%44.29%55.72%67.14%78.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)302.00423.33553.90694.26844.981,006.661,065.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate3.01%4.01%5.01%
Year 1 PV (M)383.33387.05390.77
Year 2 PV (M)454.16463.02471.97
Year 3 PV (M)515.45530.61546.07
Year 4 PV (M)568.07590.45613.49
Year 5 PV (M)612.82643.15674.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,177.3910,681.0811,204.53
Equity Value (M)12,711.2213,295.3713,901.49
Shares Outstanding (M)403.00403.00403.00
Fair Value$31.54$32.99$34.50
Upside / Downside-46.93%-44.49%-41.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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