Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Newmont Corporation (0R28.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$684.91 - $1,273.90$1,193.83
Multi-Stage$197.54 - $216.41$206.80
Blended Fair Value$700.31
Current Price$84.31
Upside730.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.19%25.95%1.021.261.561.570.740.790.270.120.060.05
YoY Growth---19.08%-18.96%-0.63%110.67%-6.19%195.35%124.63%100.00%28.85%-54.39%
Dividend Yield--2.11%3.46%3.17%1.97%1.23%1.75%0.75%0.31%0.18%0.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,187.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,116.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,071.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,437.40898.38539.03
Cash Retained (M)6,071.006,071.006,071.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,437.40-898.38-539.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,633.605,172.635,531.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,122.001,122.001,122.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.134.614.93
LTM Dividend per Share0.990.990.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.134.614.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.125.605.93
WACC / Discount Rate6.29%6.29%6.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$684.91$1,193.83$1,273.90
Upside / Downside712.37%1,316.00%1,410.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,187.007,654.168,151.688,681.539,245.839,846.8110,142.22
Payout Ratio15.53%30.42%45.32%60.21%75.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,116.002,328.583,694.085,227.266,944.148,862.139,381.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.29%6.29%6.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,170.222,190.792,211.36
Year 2 PV (M)3,208.733,269.843,331.54
Year 3 PV (M)4,231.684,353.164,476.94
Year 4 PV (M)5,239.275,440.765,648.00
Year 5 PV (M)6,231.666,532.656,845.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)200,554.12210,240.96220,298.54
Equity Value (M)221,635.69232,028.17242,811.55
Shares Outstanding (M)1,122.001,122.001,122.00
Fair Value$197.54$206.80$216.41
Upside / Downside134.30%145.28%156.68%

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