Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Compagnie Financière Richemont S.A. (0QMU.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Luxury GoodsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$858.99 - $2,041.11$1,912.82
Multi-Stage$306.18 - $334.78$320.22
Blended Fair Value$1,116.52
Current Price$159.82
Upside598.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.95%10.16%2.922.533.161.780.901.741.581.571.501.46
YoY Growth--15.54%-20.04%77.81%96.79%-47.98%9.83%0.87%4.56%2.81%31.38%
Dividend Yield--1.83%1.80%2.15%1.54%1.10%3.47%2.41%2.15%2.03%2.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,012.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,075.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,936.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,202.47751.54450.93
Cash Retained (M)1,936.511,936.511,936.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,202.47-751.54-450.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)734.041,184.971,485.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)585.81585.81585.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.252.022.54
LTM Dividend per Share6.966.966.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.252.022.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.218.989.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$858.99$1,912.82$2,041.11
Upside / Downside437.47%1,096.86%1,177.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,012.346,403.146,819.357,262.607,734.678,237.438,484.55
Payout Ratio67.79%72.23%76.67%81.12%85.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,075.834,625.175,228.715,891.166,617.657,413.697,848.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,301.774,342.544,383.32
Year 2 PV (M)4,523.064,609.214,696.17
Year 3 PV (M)4,739.784,875.845,014.48
Year 4 PV (M)4,951.995,142.425,338.30
Year 5 PV (M)5,159.755,408.975,667.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)155,687.39163,207.15171,014.71
Equity Value (M)179,363.73187,586.13196,114.71
Shares Outstanding (M)585.81585.81585.81
Fair Value$306.18$320.22$334.78
Upside / Downside91.58%100.36%109.47%

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