Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Miquel y Costas & Miquel, S.A. (0O6D.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.65 - $78.33$54.85
Multi-Stage$50.24 - $55.07$52.61
Blended Fair Value$53.73
Current Price$14.15
Upside279.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.31%12.33%0.520.450.420.410.280.350.300.270.220.19
YoY Growth--15.67%6.83%3.87%47.62%-21.35%18.59%10.58%20.22%15.26%18.10%
Dividend Yield--4.08%3.83%3.61%3.11%2.56%2.91%2.37%1.63%1.96%2.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)91.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)37.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)53.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.3011.446.86
Cash Retained (M)53.6353.6353.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.30-11.44-6.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.3342.1946.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.0838.0838.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.931.111.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.990.990.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.931.111.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.922.102.22
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate2.25%3.25%4.25%
Fair Value$39.65$54.85$78.33
Upside / Downside180.18%287.62%453.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)91.5194.4897.55100.72103.99107.37110.59
Payout Ratio41.40%51.12%60.84%70.56%80.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)37.8848.3059.3571.0783.4896.63102.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate2.25%3.25%4.25%
Year 1 PV (M)44.6245.0545.49
Year 2 PV (M)50.6451.6452.64
Year 3 PV (M)56.0257.6859.37
Year 4 PV (M)60.7963.2065.68
Year 5 PV (M)65.0068.2471.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,635.791,717.361,802.16
Equity Value (M)1,912.852,003.172,096.95
Shares Outstanding (M)38.0838.0838.08
Fair Value$50.24$52.61$55.07
Upside / Downside255.04%271.80%289.21%

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