Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Xylem Inc. (0M29.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$148.80 - $773.03$300.67
Multi-Stage$83.70 - $91.50$87.53
Blended Fair Value$194.10
Current Price$147.50
Upside31.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.00%14.05%1.441.230.890.830.770.710.620.530.460.42
YoY Growth--17.06%37.79%6.90%7.98%8.05%14.47%16.92%16.07%9.80%8.51%
Dividend Yield--1.20%0.95%0.85%0.98%0.73%1.10%0.77%0.69%0.91%1.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)948.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)380.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)568.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)189.60118.5071.10
Cash Retained (M)568.00568.00568.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-189.60-118.50-71.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)378.40449.50496.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)243.89243.89243.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.551.842.04
LTM Dividend per Share1.561.561.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.551.842.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.113.403.60
WACC / Discount Rate7.70%7.70%7.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$148.80$300.67$773.03
Upside / Downside0.88%103.85%424.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)948.001,009.621,075.251,145.141,219.571,298.841,337.81
Payout Ratio40.08%50.07%60.05%70.03%80.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)380.00505.49645.69801.98975.861,168.961,237.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.70%7.70%7.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)464.92469.33473.74
Year 2 PV (M)546.21556.62567.12
Year 3 PV (M)623.98641.89660.14
Year 4 PV (M)698.33725.19752.81
Year 5 PV (M)769.38806.54845.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,311.9118,148.0919,016.26
Equity Value (M)20,414.7421,347.6522,315.19
Shares Outstanding (M)243.89243.89243.89
Fair Value$83.70$87.53$91.50
Upside / Downside-43.25%-40.66%-37.97%

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