Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Snap-on Incorporated (0L7G.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$766.48 - $3,786.90$1,617.96
Multi-Stage$428.83 - $468.78$448.44
Blended Fair Value$1,033.20
Current Price$341.91
Upside202.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.41%14.21%7.646.685.885.184.574.073.613.182.772.40
YoY Growth--14.29%13.57%13.52%13.36%12.33%12.81%13.34%14.85%15.32%18.87%
Dividend Yield--2.32%2.26%2.38%2.54%1.97%3.77%2.30%2.16%1.64%1.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,014.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)447.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)566.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)202.86126.7976.07
Cash Retained (M)566.50566.50566.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-202.86-126.79-76.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)363.64439.71490.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)53.2353.2353.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.838.269.21
LTM Dividend per Share8.418.418.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.838.269.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.2516.6717.63
WACC / Discount Rate7.51%7.51%7.51%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Fair Value$766.48$1,617.96$3,786.90
Upside / Downside124.18%373.21%1,007.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,014.301,079.361,148.591,222.261,300.661,384.081,425.60
Payout Ratio44.15%53.32%62.49%71.66%80.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)447.80575.50717.74875.871,051.321,245.671,318.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.51%7.51%7.51%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Year 1 PV (M)530.27535.30540.33
Year 2 PV (M)609.35620.96632.69
Year 3 PV (M)685.14704.82724.88
Year 4 PV (M)757.75786.91816.91
Year 5 PV (M)827.26867.25908.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,414.5120,353.0221,327.48
Equity Value (M)22,824.2823,868.2724,951.06
Shares Outstanding (M)53.2353.2353.23
Fair Value$428.83$448.44$468.78
Upside / Downside25.42%31.16%37.11%

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