Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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The Charles Schwab Corporation (0L3I.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$149.31 - $811.86$270.99
Multi-Stage$89.19 - $97.51$93.27
Blended Fair Value$182.13
Current Price$94.60
Upside92.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.50%19.82%1.251.251.161.000.700.580.430.320.270.21
YoY Growth---0.04%7.87%15.81%42.34%20.75%34.69%32.94%21.81%25.58%3.75%
Dividend Yield--1.61%1.76%2.22%1.15%1.08%1.76%0.98%0.64%0.50%0.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,233.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,340.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,893.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,646.601,029.13617.48
Cash Retained (M)5,893.005,893.005,893.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,646.60-1,029.13-617.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,246.404,863.885,275.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,822.751,822.751,822.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.332.672.89
LTM Dividend per Share1.281.281.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.332.672.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.613.954.18
WACC / Discount Rate8.05%8.05%8.05%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$149.31$270.99$811.86
Upside / Downside57.83%186.46%758.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,233.008,768.159,338.079,945.0510,591.4811,279.9211,618.32
Payout Ratio28.42%40.74%53.05%65.37%77.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,340.003,571.954,954.166,500.978,227.9310,151.9310,746.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.05%8.05%8.05%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,274.693,305.733,336.77
Year 2 PV (M)4,163.904,243.214,323.27
Year 3 PV (M)5,009.265,153.065,299.58
Year 4 PV (M)5,812.346,035.876,265.78
Year 5 PV (M)6,574.676,892.237,221.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)137,734.26144,386.88151,294.10
Equity Value (M)162,569.12170,016.97177,741.44
Shares Outstanding (M)1,822.751,822.751,822.75
Fair Value$89.19$93.27$97.51
Upside / Downside-5.72%-1.40%3.08%

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