Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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BTS Group AB (publ) (0KGY.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,547.71 - $3,460.91$3,243.38
Multi-Stage$516.74 - $565.68$540.76
Blended Fair Value$1,892.07
Current Price$239.50
Upside690.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.81%13.01%5.705.404.801.203.593.572.732.402.261.68
YoY Growth--5.62%12.57%300.95%-66.65%0.45%30.60%13.72%6.38%34.29%0.30%
Dividend Yield--2.14%1.64%1.75%0.35%1.38%2.04%1.50%2.36%3.17%2.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)337.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)114.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)223.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)67.5042.1925.31
Cash Retained (M)223.06223.06223.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-67.50-42.19-25.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)155.56180.87197.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.3919.3919.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.029.3310.20
LTM Dividend per Share5.905.905.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.029.3310.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend13.9215.2316.10
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,547.71$3,243.38$3,460.91
Upside / Downside546.23%1,254.23%1,345.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)337.50359.44382.80407.68434.18462.40476.27
Payout Ratio33.91%45.13%56.35%67.56%78.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)114.44162.20215.69275.44342.06416.16440.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)150.94152.38153.81
Year 2 PV (M)186.79190.35193.94
Year 3 PV (M)221.98228.35234.85
Year 4 PV (M)256.53266.40276.54
Year 5 PV (M)290.45304.48319.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,914.849,345.439,792.50
Equity Value (M)10,021.5410,487.3810,970.68
Shares Outstanding (M)19.3919.3919.39
Fair Value$516.74$540.76$565.68
Upside / Downside115.76%125.79%136.19%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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