Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Lowe's Companies, Inc. (0JVQ.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$473.21 - $2,404.23$974.39
Multi-Stage$262.84 - $287.34$274.87
Blended Fair Value$624.63
Current Price$238.13
Upside162.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.66%12.06%4.584.514.233.543.042.892.592.302.001.71
YoY Growth--1.38%6.79%19.46%16.43%5.32%11.20%12.97%14.90%17.14%16.42%
Dividend Yield--2.01%1.94%2.05%1.79%1.55%2.76%2.31%2.73%2.32%2.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,779.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,613.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,166.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,355.80847.38508.43
Cash Retained (M)4,166.004,166.004,166.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,355.80-847.38-508.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,810.203,318.633,657.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)560.75560.75560.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.015.926.52
LTM Dividend per Share4.664.664.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.015.926.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.6710.5811.18
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$473.21$974.39$2,404.23
Upside / Downside98.72%309.19%909.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,779.007,219.647,688.918,188.698,720.969,287.829,566.45
Payout Ratio38.55%48.84%59.13%69.42%79.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,613.003,525.814,546.255,684.446,951.408,359.048,848.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,244.313,275.073,305.82
Year 2 PV (M)3,849.293,922.613,996.62
Year 3 PV (M)4,428.734,555.874,685.41
Year 4 PV (M)4,983.425,175.075,372.20
Year 5 PV (M)5,514.125,780.456,056.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)125,367.26131,422.54137,709.58
Equity Value (M)147,387.14154,131.61161,126.60
Shares Outstanding (M)560.75560.75560.75
Fair Value$262.84$274.87$287.34
Upside / Downside10.38%15.43%20.67%

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