Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (0J76.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$325.56 - $841.55$493.87
Multi-Stage$333.84 - $365.82$349.53
Blended Fair Value$421.70
Current Price$287.91
Upside46.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.69%15.44%5.245.094.894.734.383.793.362.932.492.06
YoY Growth--3.00%4.17%3.23%8.14%15.44%12.88%14.78%17.35%20.99%65.31%
Dividend Yield--2.57%1.77%2.36%2.37%2.13%2.08%1.58%1.14%1.25%1.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)569.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)211.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)358.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)113.8071.1342.68
Cash Retained (M)358.00358.00358.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-113.80-71.13-42.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)244.20286.88315.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.3039.3039.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.217.308.02
LTM Dividend per Share5.375.375.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.217.308.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.5812.6713.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate3.33%4.33%5.33%
Fair Value$325.56$493.87$841.55
Upside / Downside13.08%71.53%192.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)569.00593.61619.29646.08674.03703.19724.29
Payout Ratio37.08%47.67%58.25%68.83%79.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)211.00282.95360.74444.72535.29632.87669.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate3.33%4.33%5.33%
Year 1 PV (M)261.90264.44266.97
Year 2 PV (M)309.06315.07321.14
Year 3 PV (M)352.66363.00373.54
Year 4 PV (M)392.91408.34424.22
Year 5 PV (M)429.97451.19473.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,373.4211,934.5412,517.59
Equity Value (M)13,119.9213,736.5714,376.69
Shares Outstanding (M)39.3039.3039.30
Fair Value$333.84$349.53$365.82
Upside / Downside15.95%21.40%27.06%

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