Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Thales S.A. (0IW5.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$181.21 - $380.68$256.40
Multi-Stage$216.31 - $236.72$226.32
Blended Fair Value$241.36
Current Price$249.60
Upside-3.30%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.87%11.30%3.433.072.732.020.412.241.851.691.441.13
YoY Growth--11.79%12.48%35.11%390.01%-81.62%21.20%9.52%17.55%26.84%-3.62%
Dividend Yield--2.47%2.29%2.29%2.70%0.55%2.42%1.81%1.85%1.56%1.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,075.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,459.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)615.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)415.08259.43155.66
Cash Retained (M)615.80615.80615.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-415.08-259.43-155.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)200.72356.38460.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)206.53206.53206.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.971.732.23
LTM Dividend per Share7.077.077.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.971.732.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.048.799.30
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate2.72%3.72%4.72%
Fair Value$181.21$256.40$380.68
Upside / Downside-27.40%2.72%52.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,075.402,152.612,232.702,315.762,401.922,491.282,566.02
Payout Ratio70.33%74.26%78.20%82.13%86.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,459.601,598.591,745.911,901.972,067.232,242.152,373.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate2.72%3.72%4.72%
Year 1 PV (M)1,475.781,490.151,504.52
Year 2 PV (M)1,487.961,517.071,546.46
Year 3 PV (M)1,496.431,540.561,585.55
Year 4 PV (M)1,501.501,560.831,621.90
Year 5 PV (M)1,503.441,578.061,655.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)37,208.6839,055.4540,974.84
Equity Value (M)44,673.8046,742.1348,888.88
Shares Outstanding (M)206.53206.53206.53
Fair Value$216.31$226.32$236.72
Upside / Downside-13.34%-9.33%-5.16%

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