Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Fortive Corporation (0IRE.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.98 - $24.54$19.97
Multi-Stage$34.22 - $37.71$35.93
Blended Fair Value$27.95
Current Price$48.00
Upside-41.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.34%0.00%0.330.300.290.290.480.480.380.288.920.00
YoY Growth--9.02%2.51%1.84%-40.21%0.37%23.80%35.29%-96.81%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.58%0.46%0.56%0.46%0.88%1.26%0.60%0.49%19.47%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)602.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)100.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)501.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)120.4675.2945.17
Cash Retained (M)501.60501.60501.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-120.46-75.29-45.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)381.14426.31456.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)341.93341.93341.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.111.251.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.111.251.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.411.541.63
WACC / Discount Rate6.64%6.64%6.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$15.98$19.97$24.54
Upside / Downside-66.70%-58.39%-48.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)602.30596.28590.31584.41578.57572.78589.96
Payout Ratio16.72%31.38%46.03%60.69%75.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)100.70187.08271.73354.67435.91515.50545.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.64%6.64%6.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)173.66175.43177.21
Year 2 PV (M)234.14238.94243.79
Year 3 PV (M)283.68292.45301.40
Year 4 PV (M)323.65337.06350.89
Year 5 PV (M)355.28373.78393.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,330.3510,868.2811,428.38
Equity Value (M)11,700.7612,285.9412,894.71
Shares Outstanding (M)341.93341.93341.93
Fair Value$34.22$35.93$37.71
Upside / Downside-28.71%-25.14%-21.43%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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