Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Crown Holdings, Inc. (0I4X.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$99.90 - $169.82$130.31
Multi-Stage$154.55 - $169.88$162.07
Blended Fair Value$146.19
Current Price$96.59
Upside51.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.020.980.910.900.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3.48%8.49%0.95%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.14%1.24%1.10%0.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)946.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)119.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)827.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)189.20118.2570.95
Cash Retained (M)827.00827.00827.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-189.20-118.25-70.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)637.80708.75756.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)116.78116.78116.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.466.076.47
LTM Dividend per Share1.021.021.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.466.076.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.487.097.49
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate0.64%1.64%2.64%
Fair Value$99.90$130.31$169.82
Upside / Downside3.42%34.91%75.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)946.00961.48977.22993.211,009.461,025.981,056.76
Payout Ratio12.58%28.06%43.55%59.03%74.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)119.00269.82425.55586.31752.21923.39977.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate0.64%1.64%2.64%
Year 1 PV (M)249.31251.78254.26
Year 2 PV (M)363.29370.55377.88
Year 3 PV (M)462.47476.39490.59
Year 4 PV (M)548.21570.32593.10
Year 5 PV (M)621.78653.30686.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,802.3916,603.2717,436.30
Equity Value (M)18,047.4518,925.6219,838.21
Shares Outstanding (M)116.78116.78116.78
Fair Value$154.55$162.07$169.88
Upside / Downside60.00%67.79%75.88%

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