Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wavestone S.A. (0G1T.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$124.96 - $300.06$185.11
Multi-Stage$86.91 - $95.00$90.88
Blended Fair Value$138.00
Current Price$48.50
Upside184.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.46%19.20%0.410.330.330.200.000.200.180.130.090.08
YoY Growth--23.53%-0.25%65.05%0.00%-100.00%12.78%34.82%49.30%5.17%18.21%
Dividend Yield--0.84%0.59%0.74%0.44%0.00%1.16%0.63%0.39%0.40%0.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)133.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)116.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26.7516.7210.03
Cash Retained (M)116.79116.79116.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-26.75-16.72-10.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)90.03100.07106.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.0123.0123.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.914.354.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.740.740.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.914.354.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.655.095.38
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$124.96$185.11$300.06
Upside / Downside157.65%281.68%518.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)133.76142.45151.71161.57172.08183.26188.76
Payout Ratio12.69%28.15%43.61%59.08%74.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.9740.1066.1795.45128.26164.93174.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)36.3036.6536.99
Year 2 PV (M)54.2355.2656.30
Year 3 PV (M)70.8172.8574.92
Year 4 PV (M)86.1489.4592.86
Year 5 PV (M)100.28105.12110.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,651.841,731.621,814.46
Equity Value (M)1,999.602,090.952,185.68
Shares Outstanding (M)23.0123.0123.01
Fair Value$86.91$90.88$95.00
Upside / Downside79.19%87.38%95.87%

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