Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Groupe CRIT S.A. (0DZJ.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$261.10 - $639.97$389.43
Multi-Stage$319.11 - $350.09$334.31
Blended Fair Value$361.87
Current Price$71.80
Upside404.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.06%4.60%0.973.611.050.520.011.084.490.430.570.47
YoY Growth---73.09%244.17%101.85%10,030.36%-99.52%-76.00%954.67%-25.16%21.47%-24.41%
Dividend Yield--1.59%4.59%1.72%0.84%0.01%1.46%8.47%0.58%0.84%0.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)133.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)83.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26.7816.7410.04
Cash Retained (M)83.8683.8683.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-26.78-16.74-10.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)57.0867.1273.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.9210.9210.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.226.146.76
LTM Dividend per Share4.584.584.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.226.146.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.8110.7211.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate2.60%3.60%4.60%
Fair Value$261.10$389.43$639.97
Upside / Downside263.64%442.38%791.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)133.90138.71143.70148.86154.22159.76164.55
Payout Ratio37.37%47.90%58.42%68.95%79.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.0466.4483.95102.64122.56143.78152.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate2.60%3.60%4.60%
Year 1 PV (M)61.8162.4263.02
Year 2 PV (M)72.6774.0975.53
Year 3 PV (M)82.6585.1087.58
Year 4 PV (M)91.8295.4699.20
Year 5 PV (M)100.22105.20110.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,076.903,229.803,388.73
Equity Value (M)3,486.083,652.063,824.43
Shares Outstanding (M)10.9210.9210.92
Fair Value$319.11$334.31$350.09
Upside / Downside344.45%365.61%387.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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