Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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MicroStrategy Incorporated (0A7O.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$301.69 - $484.02$384.17
Multi-Stage$807.42 - $891.31$848.53
Blended Fair Value$616.35
Current Price$320.01
Upside92.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,917.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)58.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,859.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,583.54989.71593.83
Cash Retained (M)7,859.557,859.557,859.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,583.54-989.71-593.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,276.016,869.847,265.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)272.21272.21272.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share23.0625.2426.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share23.0625.2426.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend23.2725.4526.91
WACC / Discount Rate5.56%5.56%5.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$301.69$384.17$484.02
Upside / Downside-5.72%20.05%51.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,917.697,838.517,760.137,682.537,605.707,529.647,755.53
Payout Ratio0.73%18.59%36.44%54.29%72.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)58.141,456.982,827.844,171.135,487.286,776.687,173.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.56%5.56%5.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,366.311,380.261,394.20
Year 2 PV (M)2,486.842,537.852,589.38
Year 3 PV (M)3,439.883,546.263,654.82
Year 4 PV (M)4,243.694,419.574,600.86
Year 5 PV (M)4,914.745,170.665,437.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)203,333.61213,921.66224,946.26
Equity Value (M)219,785.07230,976.25242,622.65
Shares Outstanding (M)272.21272.21272.21
Fair Value$807.42$848.53$891.31
Upside / Downside152.31%165.16%178.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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