Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Beijer Ref AB (publ) (0A0H.IL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$112.80 - $297.11$172.11
Multi-Stage$77.76 - $84.93$81.28
Blended Fair Value$126.69
Current Price$146.65
Upside-13.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.02%13.27%1.380.940.830.750.440.750.480.460.440.42
YoY Growth--46.75%13.84%10.28%71.58%-41.67%55.74%4.55%4.76%5.00%5.26%
Dividend Yield--0.98%0.60%0.46%0.48%0.37%1.37%1.00%1.31%1.86%1.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,450.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)700.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,750.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)490.00306.25183.75
Cash Retained (M)1,750.001,750.001,750.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-490.00-306.25-183.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,260.001,443.751,566.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)506.58506.58506.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.492.853.09
LTM Dividend per Share1.381.381.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.492.853.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.874.234.47
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$112.80$172.11$297.11
Upside / Downside-23.08%17.36%102.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,450.002,609.252,778.852,959.483,151.843,356.713,457.41
Payout Ratio28.57%40.86%53.14%65.43%77.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)700.001,066.071,476.761,936.342,449.433,021.043,198.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)967.80976.98986.15
Year 2 PV (M)1,217.081,240.261,263.66
Year 3 PV (M)1,448.751,490.341,532.72
Year 4 PV (M)1,663.721,727.711,793.52
Year 5 PV (M)1,862.841,952.822,046.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)32,229.8133,786.5235,402.81
Equity Value (M)39,390.0141,174.6243,025.09
Shares Outstanding (M)506.58506.58506.58
Fair Value$77.76$81.28$84.93
Upside / Downside-46.98%-44.58%-42.08%

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