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Definitive Analysis

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Chaowei Power Holdings Limited (0951.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.49 - $4.98$4.22
Multi-Stage$9.19 - $10.15$9.66
Blended Fair Value$6.94
Current Price$1.21
Upside473.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.04%-5.44%0.050.060.070.100.080.060.060.070.090.00
YoY Growth---20.43%-17.84%-23.91%29.36%33.17%-9.18%-8.82%-24.20%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.48%4.83%4.97%5.86%2.82%2.22%2.34%1.81%1.52%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)587.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)120.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)467.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)117.5673.4844.09
Cash Retained (M)467.17467.17467.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-117.56-73.48-44.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)349.61393.69423.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,104.131,104.131,104.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.360.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.360.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-5.04%-4.04%-3.04%
Fair Value$3.49$4.22$4.98
Upside / Downside188.60%249.12%311.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)587.82564.06541.26519.38498.39478.24492.59
Payout Ratio20.52%34.42%48.31%62.21%76.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)120.65194.15261.51323.11379.30430.42455.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-5.04%-4.04%-3.04%
Year 1 PV (M)180.33182.23184.13
Year 2 PV (M)225.61230.39235.22
Year 3 PV (M)258.92267.18275.62
Year 4 PV (M)282.32294.40306.86
Year 5 PV (M)297.57313.57330.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,899.379,377.939,876.87
Equity Value (M)10,144.1110,665.7011,208.96
Shares Outstanding (M)1,104.131,104.131,104.13
Fair Value$9.19$9.66$10.15
Upside / Downside659.29%698.33%739.00%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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