Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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NeoPharm Co. Ltd. (092730.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$147,627.97 - $353,132.12$330,933.97
Multi-Stage$52,902.71 - $57,918.57$55,364.48
Blended Fair Value$193,149.23
Current Price$17,660.00
Upside993.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.99%23.27%374.98349.98349.98324.99374.98293.98226.14158.30113.07113.07
YoY Growth--7.14%0.00%7.69%-13.33%27.55%30.00%42.86%40.00%0.00%144.20%
Dividend Yield--2.86%1.38%1.93%1.29%1.12%1.12%0.39%0.27%0.48%0.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27,797.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,384.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)18,412.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,559.473,474.672,084.80
Cash Retained (M)18,412.6118,412.6118,412.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,559.47-3,474.67-2,084.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)12,853.1414,937.9416,327.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.6415.6415.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share821.71954.991,043.85
LTM Dividend per Share599.97599.97599.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share821.71954.991,043.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,421.681,554.971,643.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Fair Value$147,627.97$330,933.97$353,132.12
Upside / Downside735.95%1,773.92%1,899.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27,797.3629,579.7231,476.3633,494.6235,642.2837,927.6539,065.48
Payout Ratio33.76%45.01%56.26%67.50%78.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,384.7513,313.5517,707.5922,610.3828,069.1034,134.8836,135.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Year 1 PV (M)12,391.9912,509.5512,627.11
Year 2 PV (M)15,341.0115,633.4615,928.66
Year 3 PV (M)18,232.6418,756.4719,290.25
Year 4 PV (M)21,067.7121,878.6022,712.68
Year 5 PV (M)23,847.0424,999.8426,196.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)736,621.00772,230.35809,203.70
Equity Value (M)827,501.39866,008.27905,959.19
Shares Outstanding (M)15.6415.6415.64
Fair Value$52,902.71$55,364.48$57,918.57
Upside / Downside199.56%213.50%227.96%

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