Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Medy-Tox Inc. (086900.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29,115.03 - $44,166.54$36,189.88
Multi-Stage$41,698.98 - $45,698.34$43,660.77
Blended Fair Value$39,925.33
Current Price$119,800.00
Upside-66.67%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.24%0.38%1,206.131,205.781,151.730.00792.97619.861,738.581,591.891,373.711,223.14
YoY Growth--0.03%4.69%0.00%-100.00%27.93%-64.35%9.22%15.88%12.31%5.31%
Dividend Yield--0.87%0.82%0.52%0.00%0.46%0.36%0.35%0.27%0.36%0.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22,816.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,424.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,392.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,563.372,852.111,711.27
Cash Retained (M)14,392.3814,392.3814,392.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,563.37-2,852.11-1,711.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,829.0111,540.2712,681.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.986.986.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,407.211,652.211,815.54
LTM Dividend per Share1,206.131,206.131,206.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,407.211,652.211,815.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,613.342,858.343,021.67
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.12%1.12%2.12%
Fair Value$29,115.03$36,189.88$44,166.54
Upside / Downside-75.70%-69.79%-63.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22,816.8723,071.4223,328.8123,589.0723,852.2424,118.3424,841.89
Payout Ratio36.92%47.54%58.15%68.77%79.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,424.4910,967.6313,566.4816,221.9418,934.9721,706.5122,978.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.12%1.12%2.12%
Year 1 PV (M)9,953.2310,052.6510,152.07
Year 2 PV (M)11,172.9911,397.3111,623.86
Year 3 PV (M)12,124.3012,491.2512,865.53
Year 4 PV (M)12,843.0913,363.9613,900.52
Year 5 PV (M)13,361.2314,041.9814,750.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)231,802.14243,612.45255,899.31
Equity Value (M)291,256.98304,959.60319,191.48
Shares Outstanding (M)6.986.986.98
Fair Value$41,698.98$43,660.77$45,698.34
Upside / Downside-65.19%-63.56%-61.85%

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