Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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VITZROCELL Co.,Ltd. (082920.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,719.68 - $15,543.28$13,060.91
Multi-Stage$17,661.22 - $19,420.40$18,523.67
Blended Fair Value$15,792.29
Current Price$14,125.00
Upside11.80%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%141.14108.0381.5065.9254.930.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--30.64%32.55%23.64%20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.20%1.19%0.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)57,553.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,334.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)47,218.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,510.637,194.144,316.49
Cash Retained (M)47,218.2247,218.2247,218.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,510.63-7,194.14-4,316.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)35,707.5940,024.0742,901.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.2139.2139.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share910.701,020.791,094.19
LTM Dividend per Share263.59263.59263.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share910.701,020.791,094.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,174.291,284.381,357.78
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10,719.68$13,060.91$15,543.28
Upside / Downside-24.11%-7.53%10.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)57,553.1656,977.6356,407.8555,843.7755,285.3354,732.4856,374.46
Payout Ratio17.96%32.37%46.77%61.18%75.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,334.9418,441.2526,384.3934,166.8341,790.9849,259.2352,146.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)16,788.4316,959.7417,131.05
Year 2 PV (M)21,866.8722,315.4122,768.50
Year 3 PV (M)25,778.8726,576.1027,389.60
Year 4 PV (M)28,705.2629,894.9631,121.26
Year 5 PV (M)30,802.5232,406.4834,076.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)568,532.54598,137.35628,962.78
Equity Value (M)692,474.49726,290.03761,449.76
Shares Outstanding (M)39.2139.2139.21
Fair Value$17,661.22$18,523.67$19,420.40
Upside / Downside25.04%31.14%37.49%

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