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Definitive Analysis

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Kiwoom Securities Co., Ltd. (039490.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,313,264.55 - $7,438,095.30$6,970,584.60
Multi-Stage$2,137,669.79 - $2,344,443.20$2,239,134.22
Blended Fair Value$4,604,859.41
Current Price$245,000.00
Upside1,779.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.03%27.16%3,252.463,296.243,900.262,852.692,134.151,763.131,060.65715.61571.12236.70
YoY Growth---1.33%-15.49%36.72%33.67%21.04%66.23%48.22%25.30%141.28%-19.54%
Dividend Yield--2.56%2.75%3.86%2.89%1.69%2.52%1.23%0.66%0.70%0.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,013,067.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)205,678.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)807,389.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)202,613.53126,633.4675,980.07
Cash Retained (M)807,389.01807,389.01807,389.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-202,613.53-126,633.46-75,980.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)604,775.49680,755.56731,408.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.0927.0927.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share22,327.3625,132.4227,002.46
LTM Dividend per Share7,593.337,593.337,593.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share22,327.3625,132.4227,002.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend29,920.6932,725.7534,595.79
WACC / Discount Rate4.82%4.82%4.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6,313,264.55$6,970,584.60$7,438,095.30
Upside / Downside2,476.84%2,745.14%2,935.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,013,067.641,078,917.041,149,046.651,223,734.681,303,277.441,387,990.471,429,630.18
Payout Ratio20.30%34.24%48.18%62.12%76.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)205,678.63369,443.26553,628.30760,196.50991,279.481,249,191.421,322,407.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.82%4.82%4.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)349,136.26352,445.61355,754.96
Year 2 PV (M)494,438.98503,856.65513,363.17
Year 3 PV (M)641,604.63660,022.80678,790.11
Year 4 PV (M)790,651.23821,057.45852,332.35
Year 5 PV (M)941,596.94987,076.431,034,296.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)54,685,099.1757,326,409.9160,068,809.82
Equity Value (M)57,902,527.2260,650,868.8463,503,346.93
Shares Outstanding (M)27.0927.0927.09
Fair Value$2,137,669.79$2,239,134.22$2,344,443.20
Upside / Downside772.52%813.93%856.92%

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