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Definitive Analysis

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STI Co., Ltd. (039440.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,201.52 - $15,875.73$13,508.18
Multi-Stage$16,554.44 - $18,191.69$17,357.19
Blended Fair Value$15,432.69
Current Price$22,750.00
Upside-32.16%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-4.93%0.00%198.68250.24202.48151.86253.65255.810.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---20.60%23.59%33.33%-40.13%-0.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.00%0.72%1.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25,303.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,947.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)22,356.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,060.773,162.981,897.79
Cash Retained (M)22,356.4522,356.4522,356.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,060.77-3,162.98-1,897.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,295.6819,193.4720,458.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.8414.8414.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,165.871,293.801,379.08
LTM Dividend per Share198.68198.68198.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,165.871,293.801,379.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,364.551,492.481,577.76
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11,201.52$13,508.18$15,875.73
Upside / Downside-50.76%-40.62%-30.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25,303.8625,050.8224,800.3124,552.3124,306.7924,063.7224,785.63
Payout Ratio11.65%27.32%42.99%58.66%74.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,947.416,843.5010,661.3714,402.1918,067.1421,657.3522,926.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)6,161.986,224.866,287.73
Year 2 PV (M)8,643.668,820.969,000.06
Year 3 PV (M)10,513.7010,838.8411,170.62
Year 4 PV (M)11,875.6812,367.8712,875.21
Year 5 PV (M)12,817.9013,485.3514,180.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)195,572.13205,756.03216,359.81
Equity Value (M)245,585.05257,493.91269,873.76
Shares Outstanding (M)14.8414.8414.84
Fair Value$16,554.44$17,357.19$18,191.69
Upside / Downside-27.23%-23.70%-20.04%

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